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Review
“Mr. Law’s book will increase any fan’s enjoyment of the sport.” (Wall Street Journal)“Smart Baseball is an engaging account of the evolution of baseball metrics...His experience and insight make him uniquely qualified to answer the driving question in MLB today: how best to account for everything that happens on the field. This look is a must-read for the serious fan.” (--Billy Beane, Executive Vice President of Baseball Operations, Oakland A's)“Law provides necessary insight into how front offices have come to evaluate talent...Smart Baseball is an essential and accessible primer on how data and analytics shape America’s Pastime, and where it’s headed. ” (--Sean Doolittle, pitcher, Oakland A's)“No flawed statistic is safe from Keith’s insights in this clear-eyed, data driven tour of the bases. Smart Baseball gives us a preview of the future as Keith introduces the stats that really matter in a way that all fans will enjoy.” (--Molly Knight, author of New York Times Bestseller The Best Team Money Can Buy)“There is still, probably, someone in your life who thinks that “grit,” “intensity,” and “hustle” are more important than “on-base percentage” and “WHIP.” Give that person this book, and end the argument forever.” (--Mike Schur, co-creator of Parks & Recreation, Brooklyn Nine-Nine, and The Good Place)“Smart Baseball can help any baseball follower evolve along with the game. It provides an insightful and thorough look at how this great game is being viewed now and into the future. Definitely a great read for anyone who loves baseball.” (--A.J. Hinch, manager, Houston Astros)“In Smart Baseball, Keith Law deftly answers everything you always wanted to know about sabermetrics but were too afraid to ask. Its final three chapters probably each deserve their own books, and hopefully Law will oblige. I will think of Joey Bagodonuts often.” (-- Molly Knight, author of New York Times Bestseller The Best Team Money Can Buy)“Law brilliantly dismantles some of the game’s most sacred and most misleading statistics...with a style in which smart trumps snarky…Law challenges longtime fans to think differently about a game that he says has been hindered by inefficient traditions for far too long.’ (Publishers Weekly)“[Law] shatters myths about how to accurately measure a baseball player’s ability and then explains modern criteria that offer better results…provides a spirited exploration of statistics sure to start arguments among devoted baseball fans… a smooth combination of erudition and his obvious love of the sport.” (Kirkus Reviews)“In mercifully plain English, Law explains how the new statistical tools can answer questions that previously baffled baseball experts. A must-read for everyone who brings a curious head as well as an impassioned heart to the ballpark.” (Booklist)
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From the Back Cover
For the past fifteen years, many baseball fans, writers, and commentators have remained mired in the muck of old statistics—baseball card numbers such as batting average, saves recorded, and a pitcher’s won-lost record—while newer, smarter, and at times counterintuitive baseball stats known as sabermetrics have become commonplace throughout Major League Baseball. Yet, despite their popularity, confusion persists about these new stats, with much of the baseball world still following the “old” way—a combination of those outdated numbers and gut instinct—to evaluate players’ contributions and careers. Baseball, they argue, should be run by people, not by numbers.ESPN senior baseball writer Keith Law, respectfully, or perhaps not so respectfully, disagrees. In this provocative book, the outspoken Law takes on the established view of baseball stats, undermining over a century’s worth of baseball dogma. With many of these numbers dating back to the beginning of the game, he examines how allegiance to these old stats is firmly rooted, not in the modern game as it’s played, but in baseball’s irrational adherence to tradition. Using entertaining anecdotes, logic, and occasionally just a little math, he exposes the flaws in much of the game’s orthodoxy, from the illusion of clutch performers, to the dishonesty of RBIs, to how the save rule—invented by a journalist—has ruined bullpens for decades. But Smart Baseball is not just about tearing down tradition. Law also offers a clear-eyed discussion of the new stats that are helping teams win, changing how players are valued, and altering how we talk about the game. Exploring long-underappreciated numbers like On-Base Percentage, as well as newer stats like Win Probability Added and Wins Above Replacement, he simplifies the math that has gotten in the way for many curious fans, providing understandable explanations of what these numbers measure and why they work better. In addition he delves into the future of baseball stats, uncovering the escalating arms race for statistical talent being waged by almost every MLB front office, as the teams search for innovative ways to find the statistical edge on and off the field. What emerges is an intelligent, informative, and engaging assault on the baseball establishment. Brought to life by Law’s unapologetic style, Smart Baseball is an iconoclastic look at the numbers game of baseball, proving why some of the most trusted stats are surprisingly wrong, detailing the numbers that actually work, and revealing what the rise of Big Data means for the future of the sport.
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Product details
Hardcover: 304 pages
Publisher: William Morrow; 1st edition (April 25, 2017)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0062490222
ISBN-13: 978-0062490223
Product Dimensions:
6.2 x 1 x 9.2 inches
Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
4.2 out of 5 stars
104 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#40,039 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
I am a college professor who teaches teachers. I am also an avid baseball fan with no more than a B average when it comes to sabermetrics. I try to get teachers to integrate baseball concepts into classrooms as a vehicle to teach their required curricula. This book is now required reading for its broad appeal regarding math, economics, problem-solving, logic and of course, snarky writing. The two sections are easy enough for newbies but still good refreshers for people like me who read books & blogs but not religiously. Part Three taps into Mr. Law's ideas about where baseball is headed with scouting & data, with front-office insights from baseball business people. Do yourself a favor and get this book. Buy a copy for that friend that talks baseball & goes to the games with you. It will add to your enjoyment & knowledge of the game - what more can you ask from a book!
As someone who worked in the industry (baseball analytics) in the past, I can't overstate how crucial this book is to understanding the state of play in baseball analytics. It's a clear, careful, and logical examination of how bad statistic lead to decisions, how the SABRmetric revolution matured to the point where it's now a part of baseball's establishment, and what the exciting Next Big Thing in analytics will look like. Law's a terrific writer who can communicate math-y concepts clearly and with a surprisingly amount of humor. I doubt that this book will be over any reader's head, and it easily could have been.Some folks seem to be disappointed that this book is not something it never set out to be: A new system for parsing existing statistics to more exactly rate who's good and who isn't. This is a book about how gleaning insight from statistics has gone from alchemy to a science to, well, something that's frankly incredible.
As someone who has read Keith Law for years (both on ESPN and his personal blog), I'm biased when I give this a 5 star review. I agree with his approach and analysis of the stats used in baseball circles for years and that the modern analytical tools give the game more depth and a truer picture of how the players perform. His take on stats such as RBI and Saves indicate how player analysis has been skewed for generations and how the ill conceived stats have shaped the game. For those new to his work, you may be surprised as some old ideals are pealed away and will learn of some new stats that are starting to be used with increasing regularity. But for me the highlight as usual with Keith Law is the wry sense of humor. I laughed for five minutes at a Salomon Torres joke that most will likely shrug by. Smart Baseball is a good look at how the perceptions the game are changing today and a peak into where the game is headed analytically.
It's a solid enough read but I'd say it's almost surelyonly for a serious or moderately serious baseball fan with a baseline knowledge of the game. It's also repetitive at times as there were exact sentences that showed up at various points in the book. On the other end of the spectrum if you are highly familiar with advanced stats and the like, I don't think you will get a ton of new insight. All that being said it's still an enjoyable read for the serious fan or a less serious one that wants to learn new things.
A great primer for the 'new' stats that add greater numerical description to the performance of a baseball player and team. Wonderful discussions around the old standbys (BA, ERA, etc.) and a quick look at new tools for performance analysis. A pleasant read for this retired math educator.
There are two things that are perfectly clear when you read "Smart Baseball": Keith Law knows statistics and he knows baseball. The book is perfectly organized -- here are all the old stats that you know and love (batting average, RBIs, pitcher wins, etc.) and why they're stupid (at worst) or misleading (at best). Having led you to that point, he introduces statistics that actually tell us something about players (WAR, OBP, OPS, etc.) and how they are constructed. All of this is done in a perfectly accessible way, whether you have a strong background in statistics or not. It reads quickly, but you never feel like something important is being glossed over.When Law starts talking about Statcast, the book slows down a bit. It's still good material, but almost feels "tacked on" to the rest of the book.The only bad thing is that once you've finished, watching games on TV with all the old statistics gets a little frustrating.
I'm an avid fan of baseball, and particularly baseball from a sabermetric angle. This book challenged me to think about the game in new and different ways, and the author did a superb job of explaining some of the current concepts in the game (such as ways to analyze defense) in an easily accessible manner.I can't recommend it enough for anyone interested in reading about how today's game isn't like the game we grew up with, and how that's a good thing.
I've been following Keith Law since he wrote for Baseball Prospectus. I pay for ESPN Insider mostly to read Keith's current work. This book does not disappoint. Keith has always had a nice, clean way of presenting often complex information and it comes to the fore in Smart Baseball. His experience as a scout, analyst and writer makes him the top baseball pundit currently working and this book is excellent reading for someone interested in how baseball has changed and how a layman can understand the new inner workings of the game.
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